FBI actualización de los datos sobre delincuencia para reflejar el aumento de la violencia en 2022, según el experto John Lott
Greg Wehner, “Persecución de un ayudante de los US Marshal asesinado a tiros en Houston,” Fox News, October 21, 2024 This video was also shown again here. Greg Wehner, ‘Manhunt underway after US Marshal deputy shot and killed in Houston,” MSN, January 15, 2025.
er measures of crime have also cast doubt on the veracity of Biden’s talking point. John Lott Jr., president of the CPRC, told Blaze Media co-founder Glenn Beck in September, “There are two measures that we have of crime, and the media just seems to only be looking at one of these measures and not realizing what it’s measuring.”
“So the two measures are the FBI’s measure of crimes reported to police,” continued Lott. “And then there’s the Bureau of Justice Statistics measure, called the National Crime Victimization data, which gets a measure of total crime, both reported and unreported. Prior to 2020, these two sets of numbers generally went up and down together. But since 2020, they have been going at opposite directions.”
Lott noted that whereas the FBI originally claimed violent crime dipped by over 2% in 2022, the National Crime Victimization Survey showed a massive spike in the violent victimization rate. . . .
Last week, U.S. Representatives Tracey Mann and Richard Hudson led over 120 colleagues in introducing H.R. 38, the Constitutional Concealed Carry Reciprocity Act. The bill would establish nationwide reciprocity for concealed carry permit holders and residents of constitutional carry states, protecting and upholding their Second Amendment rights.
Nearly 22 million Americans currently hold concealed carry permits, according to the Crime Prevention Research Center. Following his election victory, President Trump voiced his support for full concealed carry reciprocity. . . .
From 2014-2023, the FBI claimed out of 350 “active shooter” cases, armed citizens only stopped 14. During the same period, Dr. John R. Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center, conducting legitimate, replicable, research found this:
“Out of 515 active shooter incidents from 2014 to 2023, armed citizens stopped 180, saving countless innocent lives. Our numbers even excluded 27 cases where a law-abiding citizen with a gun stopped an attacker before he could fire a shot.”
How could there possibly be such an enormous discrepancy?
“When questioned about their omission of this and other instances, the reason the bureau official gave for this mistake was that their reports “are limited in scope.” . . .
Mike McDaniel, “Gun sales: lies, damned lies and statistics,” American Thinker, January 13, 2025.
The gun banners would yap about a sudden return to the Wild West, with shootouts over parking spaces and the like; this hasn’t happened in any state that passed “shall-issue” concealed carry laws or constitutional carry, and won’t happen in the event of this national reciprocity bill becoming law. A 2016 study by Dr. John Lott, in fact, points out that concealed carry permit holders are, by and large, more law-abiding and have a lower rate of firearms violations than police officers. . . .
Cheryl Atkinson discussed the discrepancies in crime statistics reported by the FBI and the National Crime Victim Station survey with Dr. Lott. This has been reported before, but people aren’t listening. They also discussed the high rate of crime by ILLEGAL aliens.
John Lott, a crime data analyst who was a senior adviser for research and statistics in the Justice Department, which is over the FBI. He says the FBI crime stats shouldn’t be taken alone at face value.
The FBI falsely claims violent crime is going down in the country. Professor Lott calls them “defrauding statements.”
Has there been a big shift in what we count as crimes and how the FBI collects its statistics? Yes, says Dr. Lott. . . .
When the FBI doesn’t have stats, they just guess and aren’t particularly good at it.
He pointed to two distinct databases that he says should reflect similar trends but have produced impossibly opposite results: the FBI statistics and the National Crime Victimization Survey, which tries to capture additional crimes that people don’t officially report. . . .
His administration failed to reduce violent crime, a problem which was exposed last October by John Lott, founder and head of the Crime Prevention Research Center. On Biden’s watch, the FBI apparently undercounted a number of crimes, according to Lott’s research.
Another of Biden’s failures as a gun control advocate was the number of states that have adopted “Constitutional Carry” laws. During his tenure, the number of permitless carry states rose to 29, and as he leaves, the possibility of a national concealed carry reciprocity law being enacted grows. Trump has already promised to sign such a measure, and legislation has been introduced. . . .
And besides, you’ll note none of the proponents of such edicts do anything but deny the reality demonstrated by economist and author John Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center, that “Murder isn’t a nationwide problem. It’s a problem in a small set of urban areas, and even in those counties, murders are concentrated in small areas inside them.” . . .
Not long after, I found John Lott and David Mustard’s 1997 paper on concealed carry and right-to-carry guns legislation and their effect on crime. Their study used county-level FBI Uniform Crime Reports data to argue that these laws reduced violent crime. The idea was controversial, the evidence provocative, and the debate intensely polarized. But what grabbed me wasn’t just the argument—it was the data itself. David Mustard, as a grad student at Chicago in the early to mid 1990s, had made the Herculean effort to assemble the dataset from microfilm and paper reports and put it into a panel form that could be used for program evaluation purposes. The data ran from 1977 to 1992, and given there are today around 3,000 counties, and there were 8 crimes recorded for each county-year, it was a massive recording of data. The dataset was well put together, and I think has helped us better understand some of the issues with the UCR program’s own data collection methods at the county level.
Trump may have known something the debate moderator didn’t, according to John Lott, a crime data analyst and former senior adviser for Research and Statistics in the Justice Department, which oversees the FBI.
He says the FBI crime stats shouldn’t be taken alone at face value, especially after a big change that occurred right after President Biden took office.
“Starting in 2021, they had a new system for reporting this data to the FBI from police departments around the country,” Lott tells me. “In 2020, 97% of police departments reported data. In 2022, 31% of police departments didn’t report any crime data to the FBI another 24% only partially reported data. So you had less than half of police departments in 2022 and 2021 reporting complete crime data to the FBI. That’s a huge sea change.”
“The reason why we have this national crime victimization data is we know most crimes aren’t reported to police,” Lott says. “About 40% of violent crimes are reported to police. About 30% of property crimes are reported to police. Before 2020, those numbers tended to go up and down together. Since 2020, they’ve been going in completely opposite directions. So for example, in 2022, while the FBI showed a 2% drop in violent crime, reported violent crime, the National Crime Victimization data showed a 42% increase in violent crime. That’s the largest yearly increase we’ve ever seen in that measure. And that’s going back 50 years.” . . .
